Probability is the spine of anarchist behavior, because every form of resistance hinges upon our interpretation of constraints. Anyone who has experienced the feeling of traveling by air understands the dichotomy between moving and not moving, not unlike how a great piece of music rewards our investment by making time stand still. Bayes’ Law tells us that the likelihood of an event taking place can be determined by studying its conditions. The more evidence that is gathered, the more likely we are to believe or not believe that something may or may not happen. Which explains everything about gambling and nothing about predicting weather.